RCL
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices RCL only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
314.81 +2.5% reached 3 in 10 days |
324.50 +5.6% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Last close | 307.18 | |
| Bargain buy side |
299.74 -2.4% reached 3 in 10 days |
290.79 -5.3% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 297.36 | 2 in 10 days | 317.32 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 299.74 | 3 in 10 days | 314.81 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 301.97 | 4 in 10 days | 312.48 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 285.66 | 2 in 10 weeks | 330.33 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 290.79 | 3 in 10 weeks | 324.50 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 295.66 | 4 in 10 weeks | 319.15 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From RCL's daily swings (about 2.5% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
Big drop and big gain: among RCL's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 425.00 +38.4% |
| All-time closing high Aug 28, 2025 |
357.57 +16.4% |
| Mean analyst target | 353.12 +15.0% |
| 52-week closing high Feb 9, 2026 |
342.37 +11.5% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 324.50 +5.6% |
| Last close Oct 30, 2026 |
307.18 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 290.79 -5.3% |
| 200-day average | 284.02 -7.5% |
| 50-day average | 271.25 -11.7% |
| Lowest analyst target | 270.00 -12.1% |
| 52-week closing low Sep 23, 2026 |
230.30 -25.0% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 33 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.