RDDT
Up on new advertising tools launch
- RDDT +2.20% on the last session vs SPY +0.60%: +1.6 pts of stock-specific move.
- News: Reddit launched new lead generation ad tools and AI-powered Max campaigns, per finance.yahoo.com. (finance.yahoo.com)
- 10 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 81% positive over the week.
- 1 analyst action in the past 10 days (0 positive, 0 negative); latest: Needham reiterated Buy, target $300.
- 3 insider or congressional trades in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Wed): Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, September 15-16, 2026; S&P futures +0.03%, 10-year yield -1bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices RDDT only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
165.26 +3.3% reached 3 in 10 days |
172.12 +7.6% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Last close | 159.91 | |
| Bargain buy side |
154.73 -3.2% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 2 in 10 days · 24% vs usual 26% |
148.57 -7.1% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 153.09 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% | 167.04 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 154.73 | 2 in 10 days↓ 24% vs 26% | 165.26 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 156.28 | 4 in 10 days↓ 40% vs 41% | 163.62 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 145.06 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% | 176.28 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 148.57 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% | 172.12 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 151.91 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 41% vs 43% | 168.33 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From RDDT's daily swings (about 3.4% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 9 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 9 close
- Bargain price, next session: reached 24% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 10 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among RDDT's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 300.00 +87.6% |
| All-time closing high Sep 18, 2025 |
270.71 +69.3% |
| 52-week closing high Jan 13, 2026 |
258.93 +61.9% |
| Mean analyst target | 213.71 +33.6% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 172.12 +7.6% |
| 200-day average | 166.65 +4.2% |
| Last close Oct 9, 2026 |
159.91 |
| 50-day average | 154.04 -3.7% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 148.57 -7.1% |
| Lowest analyst target | 130.00 -18.7% |
| 52-week closing low Mar 27, 2026 |
121.84 -23.8% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 3 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.