RDNT
Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- RDNT +1.50% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: +1.4 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices RDNT only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
70.68 +2.2% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% reached today |
72.60 +5.0% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 70.19 · prior close 69.16 | |
| Bargain buy side |
67.67 -2.1% reached 3 in 10 days |
65.88 -4.7% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 67.20 | 2 in 10 days | 71.18 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 67.67 | 3 in 10 days | 70.68 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 68.12 | 4 in 10 days | 70.22 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 64.85 | 2 in 10 weeks | 73.76 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 65.88 | 3 in 10 weeks | 72.60 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 66.86 | 4 in 10 weeks | 71.54 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From RDNT's daily swings (about 2.2% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2026 | -4.4% | -1.2% | — | — |
| Aug 5, 2026 | -3.1% | +14.7% | +11.3% | — |
| Jul 22, 2026 | -4.3% | +7.0% | +30.1% | — |
| Jul 8, 2026 | -3.3% | -6.4% | +3.9% | +7.2% |
| Jun 17, 2026 | -6.5% | +13.6% | +14.9% | +47.3% |
| Jun 1, 2026 | -4.8% | +2.4% | +24.1% | +43.4% |
| May 11, 2026 | -3.9% | -3.1% | +4.0% | +36.6% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | -3.5% | +4.9% | -0.6% | +12.2% |
Big drop and big gain: among RDNT's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Nov 11, 2024 |
86.38 +23.1% |
| 52-week closing high Nov 24, 2025 |
84.48 +20.4% |
| 50-day average | 73.48 +4.7% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 72.60 +3.4% |
| Now | 70.19 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
69.16 -1.5% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 65.88 -6.1% |
| 200-day average | 65.35 -6.9% |
| 52-week closing low Jun 3, 2026 |
51.87 -26.1% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 30 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.