RGLD
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices RGLD only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
233.93 +2.3% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% reached today |
240.48 +5.1% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 237.45 · prior close 228.77 | |
| Bargain buy side |
223.72 -2.2% reached 3 in 10 days |
217.63 -4.9% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 222.10 | 2 in 10 days | 235.64 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 223.72 | 3 in 10 days | 233.93 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 225.24 | 4 in 10 days | 232.36 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 214.13 | 2 in 10 weeks | 244.41 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 217.63 | 3 in 10 weeks | 240.48 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 220.94 | 4 in 10 weeks | 236.87 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From RGLD's daily swings (about 2.3% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | -3.0% | +0.9% | — | — |
| Oct 7, 2026 | -2.8% | -1.3% | — | — |
| Sep 28, 2026 | -4.8% | -2.6% | -0.1% | — |
| Sep 10, 2026 | -3.3% | -1.0% | -6.8% | — |
| Sep 1, 2026 | -2.8% | +3.3% | -8.6% | — |
| Aug 13, 2026 | -3.0% | +11.7% | +9.9% | — |
| Jul 7, 2026 | -2.6% | -1.6% | +9.4% | +19.1% |
| Jun 23, 2026 | -3.7% | -3.4% | -3.1% | +25.3% |
Big drop and big gain: among RGLD's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Mar 2, 2026 |
302.40 +27.4% |
| 50-day average | 245.35 +3.3% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 240.48 +1.3% |
| 200-day average | 240.25 +1.2% |
| Now | 237.45 |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
228.77 -3.7% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 217.63 -8.3% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 4, 2025 |
167.67 -29.4% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 45 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.