RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers
$14.30
-3.12% today · -7.56% 1W
Oct 2 close or latest
PreviewWhy it's moving
Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- RIVN −3.12% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: −3.9 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, big drop (Sep 28): After its 53 big drops in the past 5 years, RIVN typically gained 2.4% over the next month (median) and was higher 60% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -6.8% and +15.0%. An ordinary month: -3.0%. Among S&P 500 stocks after big drops, that ranks #165 of 500.
- 1 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 70% positive over the week.
- Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.
Assembled from Wallsti's own signals.
Next report
Oct 29
After the close · in 25 days
EPS estimate
−$0.65
−$0.86 to −$0.55 · 12 analysts
Revenue estimate
$2.0B
$1.6B to $2.2B
Track record
5/8 beats
last 8 reports · moved ±11.0% on average
Reports
| Reported | Quarter | EPS est. | EPS | EPS surprise | Revenue | Reaction | Gap | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 AMC | 2Q2026 | −$0.78 | −$0.63 | +$0.15 (+18.9%) beat | $1.7B | -9.6% -10.3 vs SPY | +0.8% | -8.6% |
| Apr 30, 2026 AMC | 1Q2026 | −$0.72 | −$0.33 | +$0.39 (+53.9%) beat | $1.4B | -8.4% -8.7 vs SPY | -5.0% | -13.5% |
| Feb 12, 2026 AMC | 4Q2025 | −$0.79 | −$0.66 | +$0.13 (+16.7%) beat | $1.3B | +26.6% +26.6 vs SPY | +26.9% | +9.1% |
| Nov 4, 2025 AMC | 3Q2025 | −$0.86 | −$0.96 | −$0.10 (−11.1%) miss | $1.6B | +23.4% +23.0 vs SPY | +6.7% | +44.2% |
| Aug 5, 2025 AMC | −$0.64 | −$0.80 | −$0.16 (−25.0%) miss | — | -4.2% -5.0 vs SPY | -3.9% | -1.5% | |
| May 6, 2025 AMC | −$0.92 | −$0.48 | +$0.44 (+47.8%) beat | — | -5.8% -6.2 vs SPY | -0.4% | +10.2% | |
| Feb 20, 2025 AMC | −$0.63 | −$0.47 | +$0.16 (+25.4%) beat | — | -4.7% -3.0 vs SPY | -6.6% | -14.8% | |
| Nov 7, 2024 AMC | −$0.90 | −$0.99 | −$0.09 (−10.0%) miss | — | +5.4% +4.9 vs SPY | +0.7% | +2.6% | |
| Aug 6, 2024 AMC | −$1.41 | −$1.46 | −$0.05 (−3.5%) miss | — | -6.9% -6.2 vs SPY | -8.9% | -8.5% | |
| May 6, 2024 AMC | −$1.16 | −$1.24 | −$0.08 (−6.9%) miss | — | -0.8% -0.9 vs SPY | +7.8% | +5.5% | |
| Feb 21, 2024 AMC | −$1.32 | −$1.36 | −$0.04 (−3.0%) miss | — | -25.6% -27.7 vs SPY | -22.2% | -26.6% | |
| Nov 7, 2023 AMC | −$1.32 | −$1.19 | +$0.13 (+9.8%) beat | — | -2.4% -2.5 vs SPY | +6.7% | -3.0% | |
| Aug 8, 2023 AMC | −$1.39 | −$1.08 | +$0.31 (+22.3%) beat | — | -9.9% -9.2 vs SPY | +0.1% | -16.2% | |
| May 9, 2023 AMC | −$1.59 | −$1.25 | +$0.34 (+21.4%) beat | — | +1.8% +1.3 vs SPY | +8.8% | -5.6% | |
| Feb 28, 2023 AMC | −$1.95 | −$1.73 | +$0.22 (+11.3%) beat | — | -18.3% -18.0 vs SPY | -8.6% | -24.1% | |
| Nov 9, 2022 AMC | −$1.83 | −$1.57 | +$0.26 (+14.2%) beat | — | +17.4% +11.9 vs SPY | +17.1% | +18.7% | |
| Aug 11, 2022 AMC | −$1.63 | −$1.62 | +$0.01 (+0.6%) beat | — | -0.1% -1.8 vs SPY | +2.0% | -7.8% | |
| May 11, 2022 AMC | −$1.47 | −$1.43 | +$0.04 (+2.7%) beat | — | +18.0% +18.1 vs SPY | +7.7% | +32.5% | |
| Mar 10, 2022 AMC | −$2.36 | −$4.83 | −$2.47 (<−100%) miss | — | -7.6% -6.3 vs SPY | -6.9% | +2.4% | |
| Dec 16, 2021 AMC | −$6.84 | −$7.68 | −$0.84 (−12.3%) miss | — | -10.3% -9.2 vs SPY | -8.2% | -11.1% |
BMO = before the open, AMC = after the close. Reaction: the first session that could trade on the report (the same day for BMO, the next session for AMC) against the close before it; "vs SPY" subtracts the S&P 500 over the same session. EPS surprise is in dollars, with the percentage only when the estimate is at least $0.10 (near zero, a small beat would show as hundreds of percent). Revenue surprise needs the estimate from before the report, so it starts with the reports Wallsti saw coming.
Analyst estimates
| Period | EPS | Range | vs year ago | 90-day trend | Revisions 30d | Revenue | vs year ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter · Sep 30, 2026 | −$0.72 (12) | −$0.85 – −$0.60 | +25% | -6.4% | ▲4 ▼5 | $2.0B | +26% |
| Next quarter · Dec 31, 2026 | −$0.66 (13) | −$0.90 – −$0.51 | 0% | -4.1% | ▲4 ▼7 | $2.5B | +95% |
| Current year · Dec 31, 2026 | −$2.43 (15) | −$2.92 – −$2.13 | +21% | -11.1% | ▲3 ▼1 | $7.4B | +38% |
| Next year · Dec 31, 2027 | −$2.17 (16) | −$2.91 – −$1.54 | +11% | -8.1% | ▲2 ▼2 | $11.7B | +58% |
Consensus as of Oct 4, 2026. Source: Yahoo Finance analyst estimates; schedule and timing also from Nasdaq's earnings calendar.