RUM
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices RUM only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
5.55 +4.4% reached 3 in 10 days |
5.86 +10.1% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Last close | 5.32 | |
| Bargain buy side |
5.10 -4.2% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 2 in 10 days · 24% vs usual 26% |
4.83 -9.2% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 5.03 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% | 5.63 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 5.10 | 2 in 10 days↓ 24% vs 26% | 5.55 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 5.16 | 4 in 10 days↓ 40% vs 41% | 5.48 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 4.68 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% | 6.04 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 4.83 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% | 5.86 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 4.97 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 41% vs 43% | 5.69 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From RUM's daily swings (about 4.4% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Bargain price, next session: reached 24% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 10 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among RUM's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Sep 19, 2022 |
16.81 +216.0% |
| 52-week closing high Aug 25, 2026 |
10.23 +92.3% |
| 50-day average | 7.59 +42.7% |
| 200-day average | 6.72 +26.4% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 5.86 +10.1% |
| Last close Oct 30, 2026 |
5.32 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 4.83 -9.2% |
| 52-week closing low Mar 30, 2026 |
4.67 -12.2% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 6 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.