RVTY
Moving with its group (XLV +2.3%)
- RVTY +2.78% on the last session vs SPY +0.02%: +2.8 pts of stock-specific move.
- The health care ETF (XLV) +2.3% (+2.3 pts vs SPY): the stock moved with its group.
- 2 analyst actions in the past 10 days (1 positive, 0 negative); latest: Barclays maintained Equal-Weight, raised target $115 → $160.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices RVTY only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
155.57 +2.3% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
159.95 +5.1% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 156.35 · prior close 152.12 | |
| Bargain buy side |
148.74 -2.2% reached 3 in 10 days |
144.67 -4.9% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 147.66 | 2 in 10 days | 156.71 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 148.74 | 3 in 10 days | 155.57 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 149.76 | 4 in 10 days | 154.52 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 142.33 | 2 in 10 weeks | 162.58 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 144.67 | 3 in 10 weeks | 159.95 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 146.89 | 4 in 10 weeks | 157.54 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From RVTY's daily swings (about 2.3% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among RVTY's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Dec 31, 2021 |
198.75 +27.1% |
| Highest analyst target | 165.00 +5.5% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 159.95 +2.3% |
| 52-week closing high Oct 5, 2026 |
157.36 +0.6% |
| Now | 156.35 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
152.12 -2.7% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 144.67 -7.5% |
| Mean analyst target | 141.53 -9.5% |
| 50-day average | 135.39 -13.4% |
| Lowest analyst target | 110.00 -29.6% |
| 200-day average | 108.77 -30.4% |
| 52-week closing low Apr 29, 2026 |
82.21 -47.4% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 54 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.