SCCO
Moving with the market
- SCCO +0.12% on the last session vs SPY +0.07%: +0.0 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
- Activity: volume on pace for 2.0× its 20-day average.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices SCCO only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
205.59 +2.4% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
211.81 +5.5% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 200.91 · prior close 200.68 | |
| Bargain buy side |
195.89 -2.4% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
190.13 -5.3% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 194.36 | 2 in 10 days | 207.20 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 195.89 | 3 in 10 days | 205.59 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 197.33 | 4 in 10 days | 204.09 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 186.83 | 2 in 10 weeks | 215.56 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 190.13 | 3 in 10 weeks | 211.81 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 193.27 | 4 in 10 weeks | 208.38 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From SCCO's daily swings (about 2.5% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | -7.2% | +1.0% | +7.8% | — |
| Sep 1, 2026 | -3.5% | +3.8% | -1.2% | — |
| Aug 13, 2026 | -3.7% | +5.9% | +0.4% | — |
| Jul 16, 2026 | -3.2% | +3.7% | +6.9% | +16.3% |
| Jul 1, 2026 | -3.1% | +3.3% | +8.2% | +22.2% |
| Jun 23, 2026 | -6.0% | -2.4% | +2.0% | +17.5% |
| Jun 5, 2026 | -10.9% | +9.7% | -3.3% | +16.9% |
| May 15, 2026 | -6.2% | +1.6% | +10.0% | +10.5% |
Big drop and big gain: among SCCO's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Aug 25, 2026 |
219.70 +9.3% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 211.81 +5.4% |
| Now | 200.91 |
| 50-day average | 200.89 0.0% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
200.68 -0.1% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 190.13 -5.4% |
| 200-day average | 183.37 -8.7% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 20, 2025 |
114.69 -42.9% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 31 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.