SGHC
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices SGHC only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
10.88 +1.8% reached 3 in 10 days |
11.12 +4.0% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Last close | 10.69 | |
| Bargain buy side |
10.50 -1.8% reached 3 in 10 days |
10.28 -3.9% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 10.44 | 2 in 10 days | 10.94 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 10.50 | 3 in 10 days | 10.88 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 10.56 | 4 in 10 days | 10.82 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 10.14 | 2 in 10 weeks | 11.27 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 10.28 | 3 in 10 weeks | 11.12 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 10.40 | 4 in 10 weeks | 10.99 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From SGHC's daily swings (about 1.8% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
Big drop and big gain: among SGHC's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Jul 21, 2026 |
15.53 +45.3% |
| 50-day average | 12.24 +14.5% |
| 200-day average | 12.09 +13.1% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 11.12 +4.0% |
| Last close Oct 30, 2026 |
10.69 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 10.28 -3.9% |
| 52-week closing low Feb 11, 2026 |
8.42 -21.3% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 6 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.