SHO
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices SHO only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
12.95 +1.2% reached 3 in 10 days |
13.15 +2.8% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Last close | 12.79 | |
| Bargain buy side |
12.63 -1.2% reached 3 in 10 days |
12.44 -2.7% ↑ more often while near its 52-week high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 29% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 12.58 | 2 in 10 days | 13.00 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 12.63 | 3 in 10 days | 12.95 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 12.68 | 4 in 10 days | 12.90 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 12.33 | 2 in 10 weeks↑ 20% vs 18% | 13.27 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 12.44 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 29% vs 27% | 13.15 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 12.55 | 4 in 10 weeks↑ 44% vs 43% | 13.04 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From SHO's daily swings (about 1.3% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 29% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 8 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among SHO's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Jul 5, 2007 |
13.86 +8.4% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 13.15 +2.8% |
| 52-week closing high Oct 29, 2026 |
12.94 +1.2% |
| Last close Oct 30, 2026 |
12.79 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 12.44 -2.7% |
| 50-day average | 11.44 -10.5% |
| 200-day average | 10.42 -18.5% |
| 52-week closing low Feb 2, 2026 |
8.51 -33.5% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 22 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.