SKWD
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices SKWD only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
59.99 +1.6% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
61.19 +3.6% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 60.01 · prior close 59.04 | |
| Bargain buy side |
58.10 -1.6% reached 3 in 10 days |
56.96 -3.5% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 57.80 | 2 in 10 days | 60.31 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 58.10 | 3 in 10 days | 59.99 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 58.38 | 4 in 10 days | 59.70 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 56.30 | 2 in 10 weeks | 61.91 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 56.96 | 3 in 10 weeks | 61.19 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 57.58 | 4 in 10 weeks | 60.53 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From SKWD's daily swings (about 1.7% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
Big drop and big gain: among SKWD's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Aug 6, 2026 |
65.63 +9.4% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 61.19 +2.0% |
| Now | 60.01 |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
59.04 -1.6% |
| 50-day average | 57.64 -3.9% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 56.96 -5.1% |
| 200-day average | 51.66 -13.9% |
| 52-week closing low Mar 20, 2026 |
41.26 -31.2% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 4 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.