SOXL
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices SOXL only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
85.54 +11.0% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
97.34 +26.3% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Last close | 77.05 | |
| Bargain buy side |
69.40 -9.9% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 2 in 10 days · 24% vs usual 26% |
60.99 -20.8% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 67.09 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% | 88.49 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 69.40 | 2 in 10 days↓ 24% vs 26% | 85.54 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 71.63 | 4 in 10 days↓ 40% vs 41% | 82.88 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 56.53 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% | 105.01 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 60.99 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% | 97.34 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 65.46 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 41% vs 43% | 90.69 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From SOXL's daily swings (about 10.8% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | -12.7% | -10.8% | — | — |
| Oct 8, 2026 | -10.3% | -24.7% | — | — |
| Sep 14, 2026 | -17.0% | +40.3% | +26.2% | — |
| Aug 28, 2026 | -9.5% | +5.3% | +32.1% | — |
| Aug 18, 2026 | -14.8% | -10.4% | -11.1% | — |
| Jul 24, 2026 | -13.1% | -16.1% | -18.7% | -39.9% |
| Jul 16, 2026 | -13.9% | +10.5% | +1.7% | -22.4% |
| Jul 7, 2026 | -15.1% | +6.9% | -20.1% | -0.5% |
- Bargain price, next session: reached 24% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 10 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among SOXL's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Jun 22, 2026 |
300.57 +290.1% |
| 200-day average | 124.18 +61.2% |
| 50-day average | 121.03 +57.1% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 97.34 +26.3% |
| Last close Oct 30, 2026 |
77.05 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 60.99 -20.8% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 20, 2025 |
30.79 -60.0% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 17 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.