SPCX
Down on Musk alienating customers
- SPCX −3.54% on the last session vs SPY +0.12%: −3.7 pts of stock-specific move.
- News: Motley Fool reported CEO Elon Musk may be alienating potential customers (15:18 UTC). (fool.com)
- More than its group: its space peers -1.4% (-1.5 pts vs SPY).
- Aftermath, mention spike (trendy) (Oct 9): After its 8 mention spikes in the past 5 years, SPCX was higher a day later 5 times out of 8; half the outcomes fell between -1.1% and +19.6%. History, not a forecast.
- 67 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 72% positive over the week.
- 3 analyst actions in the past 10 days (1 positive, 0 negative); latest: Susquehanna maintained Neutral, raised target $144 → $173.
- 2 insider or congressional trades in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
- Activity: volume on pace for 1.7× its 20-day average.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices SPCX only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
157.61 +3.6% reached 3 in 10 days |
164.61 +8.2% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 146.78 · prior close 152.16 | |
| Bargain buy side |
146.90 -3.5% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
140.65 -7.6% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 145.23 | 2 in 10 days | 159.42 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 146.90 | 3 in 10 days | 157.61 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 148.47 | 4 in 10 days | 155.94 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 137.10 | 2 in 10 weeks | 168.87 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 140.65 | 3 in 10 weeks | 164.61 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 144.04 | 4 in 10 weeks | 160.74 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From SPCX's daily swings (about 3.6% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among SPCX's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 450.00 +206.6% |
| Mean analyst target | 221.26 +50.7% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Jun 16, 2026 |
211.39 +44.0% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 164.61 +12.1% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
152.16 +3.7% |
| 50-day average | 147.49 +0.5% |
| Now | 146.78 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 140.65 -4.2% |
| Lowest analyst target | 118.00 -19.6% |
| 52-week closing low Aug 5, 2026 |
108.27 -26.2% |
Closing prices. Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.