SPXC
Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- SPXC −1.52% on the last session vs SPY +0.04%: −1.6 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices SPXC only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
171.39 +1.9% ↑ more often after a new 52-week low
reached 4 in 10 days · 36% vs usual 28% |
175.38 +4.2% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 165.67 · prior close 168.23 | |
| Bargain buy side |
165.13 -1.8% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
161.37 -4.1% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 164.13 | 2 in 10 days | 172.43 | 3 in 10 days↑ 25% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 165.13 | 3 in 10 days | 171.39 | 4 in 10 days↑ 36% vs 28% |
| Eager | 166.06 | 4 in 10 days | 170.43 | 5 in 10 days↑ 52% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 159.21 | 2 in 10 weeks | 177.77 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 161.37 | 3 in 10 weeks | 175.38 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 163.42 | 4 in 10 weeks | 173.18 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From SPXC's daily swings (about 1.9% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 36% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | -2.7% | -2.1% | -5.7% | — |
| Apr 5, 2022 | -0.6% | -5.1% | -4.8% | +13.9% |
| Mar 1, 2022 | -3.4% | -1.7% | +4.1% | +2.8% |
| Jan 26, 2022 | -2.7% | +2.7% | -0.1% | -15.6% |
Big drop and big gain: among SPXC's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Jun 22, 2026 |
246.41 +48.7% |
| 200-day average | 209.75 +26.6% |
| 50-day average | 189.48 +14.4% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 175.38 +5.9% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
168.23 +1.5% |
| Now | 165.67 |
| 52-week closing low Oct 15, 2026 |
165.67 0.0% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 161.37 -2.6% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 47 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.