STAG
Moving with the market
- STAG −0.08% on the last session vs SPY −0.70%: +0.6 pts of stock-specific move.
- 1 insider or congressional trade in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Thu): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices STAG only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
36.05 +1.0% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
36.50 +2.3% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 35.66 · prior close 35.69 | |
| Bargain buy side |
35.33 -1.0% reached 3 in 10 days |
34.89 -2.2% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 35.22 | 2 in 10 days | 36.17 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 35.33 | 3 in 10 days | 36.05 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 35.44 | 4 in 10 days | 35.94 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 34.64 | 2 in 10 weeks | 36.77 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 34.89 | 3 in 10 weeks | 36.50 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 35.13 | 4 in 10 weeks | 36.26 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From STAG's daily swings (about 1.0% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 15 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 15 close
Big drop and big gain: among STAG's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Jul 16, 2026 |
41.60 +16.7% |
| 200-day average | 37.21 +4.3% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 36.50 +2.4% |
| 50-day average | 36.50 +2.3% |
| Previous close Oct 15, 2026 |
35.69 +0.1% |
| Now | 35.66 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 34.89 -2.1% |
| 52-week closing low Mar 25, 2026 |
34.87 -2.2% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 15 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.