STLD
Steel Dynamics, Inc. · Basic Materials · Steel
TECHSellZACKSHold
R500#42 today
$231.99
+2.57% today · -0.48% 1W
Oct 2 close or latest
PreviewWhy it's moving
Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- STLD +2.57% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: +1.8 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, big drop (Sep 29): After its 57 big drops in the past 5 years, STLD typically gained 0.8% over the next week (median) and was higher 63% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -1.5% and +3.2%. An ordinary week: +0.9%. Among S&P 500 stocks after big drops, that ranks #105 of 500.
- Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.
Assembled from Wallsti's own signals.
Next report
Oct 19
After the close · in 15 days
EPS estimate
$5.41
$5.36 to $5.49 · 6 analysts
Revenue estimate
$6.4B
$5.6B to $6.8B
Track record
6/8 beats
last 8 reports · moved ±3.3% on average
Reports
| Reported | Quarter | EPS est. | EPS | EPS surprise | Revenue | Reaction | Gap | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2026 AMC | 2Q2026 | $3.67 | $3.69 | +$0.02 (+0.6%) beat | $6.1B | +1.3% +0.5 vs SPY | +3.7% | +8.6% |
| Apr 20, 2026 AMC | 1Q2026 | $2.79 | $2.78 | −$0.01 (−0.2%) miss | $5.2B | +5.2% +5.8 vs SPY | +1.3% | +7.5% |
| Jan 26, 2026 BMO | 4Q2025 | $1.69 | $1.82 | +$0.13 (+7.9%) beat | $4.4B | -4.4% -4.9 vs SPY | +1.7% | -1.0% |
| Oct 20, 2025 AMC | 3Q2025 | $2.63 | $2.74 | +$0.11 (+4.2%) beat | $4.8B | +5.2% +5.2 vs SPY | -0.1% | +8.0% |
| Jul 21, 2025 AMC | $2.08 | $2.01 | −$0.07 (−3.4%) miss | — | -1.7% -1.7 vs SPY | -4.8% | -3.2% | |
| Apr 22, 2025 AMC | $1.38 | $1.44 | +$0.06 (+4.3%) beat | — | +4.3% +2.8 vs SPY | +3.0% | +10.1% | |
| Jan 22, 2025 AMC | $1.29 | $1.36 | +$0.07 (+5.4%) beat | — | -0.4% -1.0 vs SPY | -1.5% | +5.1% | |
| Oct 16, 2024 AMC | $1.98 | $2.05 | +$0.07 (+3.5%) beat | — | +4.0% +4.0 vs SPY | +4.7% | -0.9% | |
| Jul 17, 2024 AMC | $2.67 | $2.72 | +$0.05 (+1.9%) beat | — | -0.7% +0.1 vs SPY | -2.0% | -5.2% | |
| Apr 23, 2024 AMC | $3.45 | $3.67 | +$0.22 (+6.4%) beat | — | -3.2% -3.1 vs SPY | +5.1% | -3.0% | |
| Jan 23, 2024 AMC | $2.62 | $2.61 | −$0.01 (−0.4%) miss | — | +0.3% +0.2 vs SPY | -5.2% | +5.4% | |
| Oct 18, 2023 AMC | $3.50 | $3.47 | −$0.03 (−0.9%) miss | — | -4.1% -3.2 vs SPY | +1.4% | -3.5% | |
| Jul 19, 2023 AMC | $4.80 | $4.81 | +$0.01 (+0.2%) beat | — | -3.0% -2.3 vs SPY | 0.0% | -1.5% | |
| Apr 19, 2023 AMC | $3.62 | $4.01 | +$0.39 (+10.8%) beat | — | +4.9% +5.5 vs SPY | -3.0% | -3.8% | |
| Jan 25, 2023 AMC | $3.59 | $4.37 | +$0.78 (+21.7%) beat | — | +10.0% +8.9 vs SPY | +2.5% | +13.5% | |
| Oct 19, 2022 AMC | $5.13 | $5.46 | +$0.33 (+6.4%) beat | — | +6.2% +7.0 vs SPY | 0.0% | +21.5% | |
| Jul 20, 2022 AMC | $6.14 | $6.73 | +$0.59 (+9.6%) beat | — | +3.9% +2.8 vs SPY | +1.2% | +7.0% | |
| Apr 20, 2022 AMC | $5.72 | $6.02 | +$0.30 (+5.2%) beat | — | +1.9% +3.4 vs SPY | +2.0% | -3.7% | |
| Jan 24, 2022 AMC | $5.71 | $5.78 | +$0.07 (+1.2%) beat | — | -1.1% +0.2 vs SPY | -5.9% | +1.5% | |
| Oct 18, 2021 AMC | $4.85 | $4.96 | +$0.11 (+2.3%) beat | — | +1.7% +1.0 vs SPY | -0.1% | +7.5% | |
| Jul 19, 2021 AMC | $3.38 | $3.40 | +$0.02 (+0.6%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Apr 19, 2021 AMC | $1.98 | $2.10 | +$0.12 (+6.1%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Jan 25, 2021 AMC | $0.82 | $0.97 | +$0.15 (+18.3%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Oct 19, 2020 AMC | $0.48 | $0.51 | +$0.03 (+6.3%) beat | — | — | — | — |
BMO = before the open, AMC = after the close. Reaction: the first session that could trade on the report (the same day for BMO, the next session for AMC) against the close before it; "vs SPY" subtracts the S&P 500 over the same session. EPS surprise is in dollars, with the percentage only when the estimate is at least $0.10 (near zero, a small beat would show as hundreds of percent). Revenue surprise needs the estimate from before the report, so it starts with the reports Wallsti saw coming.
Analyst estimates
| Period | EPS | Range | vs year ago | 90-day trend | Revisions 30d | Revenue | vs year ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter · Sep 30, 2026 | $5.41 (6) | $5.36 – $5.49 | +97% | +3.4% | ▲3 ▼3 | $6.4B | +33% |
| Next quarter · Dec 31, 2026 | $5.93 (5) | $4.91 – $6.62 | +226% | +20.2% | ▲4 ▼0 | $6.2B | +40% |
| Current year · Dec 31, 2026 | $17.10 (7) | $13.12 – $18.54 | +114% | +3.8% | ▲4 ▼2 | $23.8B | +31% |
| Next year · Dec 31, 2027 | $19.55 (12) | $13.55 – $23.55 | +14% | +6.9% | ▲6 ▼1 | $24.3B | +2% |
Consensus as of Oct 4, 2026. Source: Yahoo Finance analyst estimates; schedule and timing also from Nasdaq's earnings calendar.