SWK

Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet

• SWK +1.95% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: +1.2 pts of stock-specific move.
• Aftermath, big drop (Sep 28): After its 64 big drops in the past 5 years, SWK typically gained 4.0% over the next month (median) and was higher 64% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -4.2% and +9.2%. An ordinary month: -0.8%. Among S&P 500 stocks after big drops, that ranks #45 of 500.
• Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.