SWKS
Analyst target raises behind the outperformance
- SWKS +1.43% on the last session vs SPY +0.04%: +1.4 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, big drop (Oct 8): After its 58 big drops in the past 5 years, SWKS was higher a day later 36 times out of 58; half the outcomes fell between -1.2% and +1.7%. History, not a forecast.
- 3 analyst actions in the past 10 days (3 positive, 0 negative); latest: Mizuho maintained Underperform, raised target $52.00 → $61.00.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices SWKS only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
79.64 +3.6% reached 3 in 10 days |
83.18 +8.2% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 77.99 · prior close 76.89 | |
| Bargain buy side |
74.23 -3.5% reached 3 in 10 days |
71.08 -7.6% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 73.39 | 2 in 10 days | 80.56 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 74.23 | 3 in 10 days | 79.64 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 75.03 | 4 in 10 days | 78.80 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 69.28 | 2 in 10 weeks | 85.33 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 71.08 | 3 in 10 weeks | 83.18 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 72.79 | 4 in 10 weeks | 81.22 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From SWKS's daily swings (about 3.6% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among SWKS's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Apr 26, 2021 |
172.34 +121.0% |
| Highest analyst target | 107.00 +37.2% |
| 52-week closing high Sep 23, 2026 |
91.45 +17.3% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 83.18 +6.7% |
| Now | 77.99 |
| 50-day average | 77.11 -1.1% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
76.89 -1.4% |
| Mean analyst target | 75.65 -3.0% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 71.08 -8.9% |
| 200-day average | 66.05 -15.3% |
| Lowest analyst target | 61.00 -21.8% |
| 52-week closing low Mar 30, 2026 |
52.05 -33.3% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 42 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.