SYM
Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- SYM +4.35% on the last session vs SPY +0.06%: +4.3 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices SYM only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
39.15 +3.3% ↑ more often after a new 52-week low
reached 4 in 10 days · 36% vs usual 28% reached today |
40.74 +7.5% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 39.55 · prior close 37.90 | |
| Bargain buy side |
36.69 -3.2% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 2 in 10 days · 24% vs usual 26% reached today |
35.25 -7.0% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 36.31 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% | 39.56 | 3 in 10 days↑ 25% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 36.69 | 2 in 10 days↓ 24% vs 26% | 39.15 | 4 in 10 days↑ 36% vs 28% |
| Eager | 37.05 | 4 in 10 days↓ 40% vs 41% | 38.76 | 5 in 10 days↑ 52% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 34.44 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% | 41.71 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 35.25 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% | 40.74 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 36.04 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 41% vs 43% | 39.86 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From SYM's daily swings (about 3.3% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | -6.1% | +3.8% | — | — |
| Aug 6, 2026 | -14.9% | +5.6% | +8.4% | — |
| Jul 7, 2026 | -7.1% | +5.7% | +12.6% | +3.8% |
| Jun 5, 2026 | -7.2% | -5.4% | -5.3% | -2.5% |
| May 28, 2026 | -9.0% | -2.9% | -13.7% | -15.7% |
| May 7, 2026 | -7.7% | -11.1% | -21.4% | -28.8% |
| Mar 30, 2026 | -6.0% | +8.8% | +21.0% | -5.2% |
| Mar 6, 2026 | -8.6% | +1.7% | +6.1% | -9.4% |
- Stretch price, next session: reached 36% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2026 | -3.7% | +11.5% | +13.0% | — |
| Apr 4, 2025 | -4.1% | +17.9% | +31.1% | +161.1% |
| Aug 29, 2024 | -3.3% | -7.0% | +26.1% | +24.1% |
| Jul 30, 2024 | -23.5% | -15.9% | -26.6% | +4.3% |
| Nov 16, 2022 | -4.2% | +36.5% | +34.2% | +94.0% |
| May 31, 2022 | -4.9% | -4.1% | +15.6% | +29.4% |
- Bargain price, next session: reached 24% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 10 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among SYM's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Nov 26, 2025 |
87.30 +120.7% |
| 200-day average | 49.66 +25.6% |
| 50-day average | 41.79 +5.7% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 40.74 +3.0% |
| Now | 39.55 |
| 52-week closing low Oct 14, 2026 |
37.90 -4.2% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
37.90 -4.2% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 35.25 -10.9% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 6 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.