TAP-A
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices TAP-A only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
47.01 +4.5% reached 3 in 10 days |
49.62 +10.3% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Last close | 45.00 | |
| Bargain buy side |
43.08 -4.3% reached 3 in 10 days |
40.81 -9.3% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 42.47 | 2 in 10 days | 47.68 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 43.08 | 3 in 10 days | 47.01 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 43.65 | 4 in 10 days | 46.39 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 39.54 | 2 in 10 weeks | 51.21 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 40.81 | 3 in 10 weeks | 49.62 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 42.04 | 4 in 10 weeks | 48.17 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From TAP-A's daily swings (about 4.5% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
Big drop and big gain: among TAP-A's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Oct 13, 2016 |
86.08 +91.3% |
| 52-week closing high Feb 13, 2026 |
54.23 +20.5% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 49.62 +10.3% |
| Last close Oct 30, 2026 |
45.00 |
| 200-day average | 44.90 -0.2% |
| 50-day average | 42.33 -5.9% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 40.81 -9.3% |
| 52-week closing low Jul 24, 2026 |
39.08 -13.1% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 21 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.