TEM
Moving with its group (XLV +2.6%)
- TEM +1.52% on the last session vs SPY +0.09%: +1.4 pts of stock-specific move.
- The health care ETF (XLV) +2.6% (+2.5 pts vs SPY): the stock moved with its group.
- 1 analyst action in the past 10 days (1 positive, 0 negative); latest: Canaccord Genuity maintained Buy, raised target $80.00 → $95.00.
- 6 insider or congressional trades in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices TEM only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
72.07 +5.5% reached 3 in 10 days |
76.98 +12.7% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 69.36 · prior close 68.32 | |
| Bargain buy side |
64.77 -5.2% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
60.63 -11.3% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 63.65 | 2 in 10 days | 73.33 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 64.77 | 3 in 10 days | 72.07 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 65.82 | 4 in 10 days | 70.91 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 58.32 | 2 in 10 weeks | 80.03 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 60.63 | 3 in 10 weeks | 76.98 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 62.86 | 4 in 10 weeks | 74.25 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From TEM's daily swings (about 5.5% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among TEM's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Oct 8, 2025 |
103.25 +48.9% |
| Highest analyst target | 100.00 +44.2% |
| 52-week closing high Oct 20, 2025 |
92.45 +33.3% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 76.98 +11.0% |
| Mean analyst target | 73.56 +6.0% |
| Now | 69.36 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
68.32 -1.5% |
| 50-day average | 67.41 -2.8% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 60.63 -12.6% |
| 200-day average | 56.76 -18.2% |
| 52-week closing low Jul 29, 2026 |
41.55 -40.1% |
| Lowest analyst target | 35.00 -49.5% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 2 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.