TRGP
Moving with its group (XLE -1.5%)
- TRGP −2.84% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: −2.9 pts of stock-specific move.
- The energy ETF (XLE) -1.5% (-1.7 pts vs SPY): the stock moved with its group.
- Aftermath, big drop (-2.8% today so far, past its big-drop line of -2.2%): After its 55 big drops in the past 5 years, TRGP was higher a week later 33 times out of 55; half the outcomes fell between -2.2% and +4.3%. History, not a forecast.
- 1 analyst action in the past 10 days (1 positive, 0 negative); latest: Barclays maintained Overweight, raised target $284 → $294.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices TRGP only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
295.16 +1.5% reached 3 in 10 days |
300.51 +3.3% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 282.64 · prior close 290.91 | |
| Bargain buy side |
286.72 -1.4% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
281.62 -3.2% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 285.37 | 2 in 10 days | 296.56 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 286.72 | 3 in 10 days | 295.16 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 287.98 | 4 in 10 days | 293.87 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 278.66 | 2 in 10 weeks | 303.69 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 281.62 | 3 in 10 weeks | 300.51 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 284.40 | 4 in 10 weeks | 297.57 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From TRGP's daily swings (about 1.5% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among TRGP's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 359.00 +27.0% |
| Mean analyst target | 325.71 +15.2% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Aug 20, 2026 |
302.25 +6.9% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 300.51 +6.3% |
| Lowest analyst target | 294.00 +4.0% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
290.91 +2.9% |
| 50-day average | 285.02 +0.8% |
| Now | 282.64 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 281.62 -0.4% |
| 200-day average | 251.61 -11.0% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 16, 2025 |
143.22 -49.3% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 16 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.