TRMD

R500#290 today EARNINGSWed BMO

$42.69 -0.82% today · +7.02% 1W

Oct 30 close or latest

Why it's movingOutperforming without a clear catalyst yetReadout ›

Bargain & stretch prices

Prices TRMD only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.

Next sessionNext 5 sessions

	Next session	Next 5 sessions
Stretch sell side	43.82 +2.7% reached 3 in 10 days	45.27 +6.0% reached 3 in 10 weeks
Last close	42.69
Bargain buy side	41.58 -2.6% reached 3 in 10 days	40.26 -5.7% ↑ more often while near its 52-week high reached 3 in 10 weeks · 29% vs usual 27%

More patient or more eager

	Bargain	Reached	Stretch	Reached
Next session
Patient	41.23	2 in 10 days	44.20	2 in 10 days
Balanced	41.58	3 in 10 days	43.82	3 in 10 days
Eager	41.92	4 in 10 days	43.48	5 in 10 days
Next 5 sessions
Patient	39.50	2 in 10 weeks↑ 20% vs 18%	46.14	2 in 10 weeks
Balanced	40.26	3 in 10 weeks↑ 29% vs 27%	45.27	3 in 10 weeks
Eager	40.98	4 in 10 weeks↑ 44% vs 43%	44.47	5 in 10 weeks

"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From TRMD's daily swings (about 2.7% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.

Situations on the Oct 30 close

Within 2% of its 52-week high odds adjusted

Near its 52-week high, the 5-session bargain price was reached a little more often than usual, so the bargain & stretch odds above are adjusted (marked in gold):

Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 29% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 8 of 10 years)

Big drop and big gain: among TRMD's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.

Price ladder

Stretch, next 5 sessions	45.27 +6.0%
All-time and 52-week closing high Oct 29, 2026	43.04 +0.8%
Last close Oct 30, 2026	42.69
Bargain, next 5 sessions	40.26 -5.7%
50-day average	36.34 -14.9%
200-day average	28.69 -32.8%
52-week closing low Dec 23, 2025	17.21 -59.7%

Closing prices (all-time = the 9 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.