TSN
Moving with the market
- TSN +0.48% on the last session vs SPY +0.01%: +0.5 pts of stock-specific move.
- 1 analyst action in the past 10 days (0 positive, 1 negative); latest: Piper Sandler maintained Overweight, lowered target $66.00 → $56.00.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices TSN only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
54.94 +1.3% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
55.84 +3.0% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 54.48 · prior close 54.22 | |
| Bargain buy side |
53.51 -1.3% reached 3 in 10 days |
52.65 -2.9% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 53.28 | 2 in 10 days | 55.17 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 53.51 | 3 in 10 days | 54.94 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 53.72 | 4 in 10 days | 54.72 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 52.15 | 2 in 10 weeks | 56.38 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 52.65 | 3 in 10 weeks | 55.84 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 53.12 | 4 in 10 weeks | 55.34 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From TSN's daily swings (about 1.4% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among TSN's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Feb 7, 2022 |
84.98 +56.0% |
| Highest analyst target | 75.00 +37.7% |
| 52-week closing high May 4, 2026 |
67.54 +24.0% |
| Mean analyst target | 63.42 +16.4% |
| 200-day average | 58.92 +8.2% |
| Lowest analyst target | 56.00 +2.8% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 55.84 +2.5% |
| Now | 54.48 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
54.22 -0.5% |
| 50-day average | 53.92 -1.0% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 52.65 -3.4% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 29, 2025 |
49.00 -10.1% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 47 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.