TX
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices TX only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
53.89 +2.1% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
55.30 +4.8% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 53.38 · prior close 52.77 | |
| Bargain buy side |
51.68 -2.1% reached 3 in 10 days |
50.35 -4.6% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 51.33 | 2 in 10 days | 54.26 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 51.68 | 3 in 10 days | 53.89 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 52.00 | 4 in 10 days | 53.55 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 49.59 | 2 in 10 weeks | 56.15 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 50.35 | 3 in 10 weeks | 55.30 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 51.07 | 4 in 10 weeks | 54.52 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From TX's daily swings (about 2.2% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | -3.4% | — | — | — |
| Oct 15, 2026 | -2.9% | -2.7% | — | — |
| Sep 14, 2026 | -3.4% | +1.6% | +5.4% | — |
| Aug 6, 2026 | -3.4% | +4.6% | +11.8% | — |
| Jul 29, 2026 | -2.6% | +11.8% | +16.2% | +13.8% |
| Jul 1, 2026 | -2.7% | +4.5% | +18.5% | +30.7% |
| Jun 17, 2026 | -3.2% | -4.5% | -6.3% | +22.3% |
| Jun 3, 2026 | -2.8% | -5.2% | -14.8% | +14.2% |
Big drop and big gain: among TX's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Oct 20, 2026 |
59.69 +11.8% |
| 50-day average | 56.35 +5.6% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 55.30 +3.6% |
| Now | 53.38 |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
52.77 -1.1% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 50.35 -5.7% |
| 200-day average | 47.18 -11.6% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 20, 2025 |
34.25 -35.8% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 21 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.