UBER
Analyst target raises behind the outperformance
- UBER +2.19% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: +2.1 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, big drop (Oct 14): After its 53 big drops in the past 5 years, UBER was higher a day later 32 times out of 53; half the outcomes fell between -1.7% and +1.9%. History, not a forecast.
- 1 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 83% positive over the week.
- 4 analyst actions in the past 10 days (1 positive, 0 negative); latest: Wells Fargo maintained Overweight, raised target $89.00 → $92.00.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices UBER only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
70.46 +1.7% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% reached today |
71.94 +3.8% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 70.81 · prior close 69.29 | |
| Bargain buy side |
68.14 -1.7% reached 3 in 10 days |
66.74 -3.7% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 67.77 | 2 in 10 days | 70.85 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 68.14 | 3 in 10 days | 70.46 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 68.48 | 4 in 10 days | 70.11 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 65.93 | 2 in 10 weeks | 72.82 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 66.74 | 3 in 10 weeks | 71.94 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 67.50 | 4 in 10 weeks | 71.13 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From UBER's daily swings (about 1.7% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | -2.8% | -0.2% | -1.2% | — |
| Aug 31, 2026 | -4.0% | -3.3% | -9.4% | — |
| Aug 5, 2026 | -5.3% | +10.5% | +11.4% | — |
| Jul 24, 2026 | -4.3% | +6.7% | +20.2% | — |
| Jul 14, 2026 | -2.9% | -0.7% | +4.6% | -0.8% |
| Jul 6, 2026 | -2.7% | +2.5% | -0.6% | -6.0% |
| Jun 23, 2026 | -2.5% | +3.6% | -1.1% | +0.3% |
| Jun 10, 2026 | -2.5% | +3.4% | +8.2% | +5.8% |
Big drop and big gain: among UBER's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 150.00 +111.8% |
| Mean analyst target | 100.86 +42.4% |
| All-time closing high Oct 6, 2025 |
100.10 +41.4% |
| 52-week closing high Nov 3, 2025 |
99.72 +40.8% |
| 200-day average | 74.27 +4.9% |
| 50-day average | 73.10 +3.2% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 71.94 +1.6% |
| Now | 70.81 |
| Lowest analyst target | 70.00 -1.1% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
69.29 -2.1% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 66.74 -5.7% |
| 52-week closing low Jul 24, 2026 |
65.94 -6.9% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 7 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.