UI
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices UI only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
580.06 +2.9% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
600.80 +6.6% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 558.22 · prior close 563.81 | |
| Bargain buy side |
548.01 -2.8% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 2 in 10 days · 24% vs usual 26% |
529.10 -6.2% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 542.98 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% | 585.44 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 548.01 | 2 in 10 days↓ 24% vs 26% | 580.06 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 552.75 | 4 in 10 days↓ 40% vs 41% | 575.09 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 518.29 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% | 613.33 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 529.10 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% | 600.80 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 539.37 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 41% vs 43% | 589.35 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From UI's daily swings (about 2.9% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | -5.7% | -4.5% | — | — |
| Sep 9, 2026 | -10.3% | +9.6% | +23.3% | — |
| May 15, 2026 | -5.6% | -1.9% | -10.3% | -6.2% |
| May 7, 2026 | -9.9% | -28.8% | -38.1% | -38.8% |
| Apr 21, 2026 | -5.0% | -6.1% | -41.6% | -47.6% |
| Mar 30, 2026 | -5.5% | +13.6% | +31.8% | -27.4% |
| Mar 20, 2026 | -3.6% | +1.9% | +34.3% | -24.2% |
| Mar 3, 2026 | -4.5% | +0.9% | +8.0% | -22.7% |
- Bargain price, next session: reached 24% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 10 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among UI's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Apr 17, 2026 |
1,081.30 +93.7% |
| 200-day average | 660.59 +18.3% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 600.80 +7.6% |
| 50-day average | 589.02 +5.5% |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
563.81 +1.0% |
| Now | 558.22 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 529.10 -5.2% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 20, 2025 |
513.35 -8.0% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 15 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.