USLM
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices USLM only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
113.60 +1.8% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
116.12 +4.0% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 120.31 · prior close 111.61 | |
| Bargain buy side |
109.65 -1.8% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
107.28 -3.9% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 109.02 | 2 in 10 days | 114.26 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 109.65 | 3 in 10 days | 113.60 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 110.24 | 4 in 10 days | 113.00 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 105.91 | 2 in 10 weeks | 117.62 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 107.28 | 3 in 10 weeks | 116.12 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 108.57 | 4 in 10 weeks | 114.73 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From USLM's daily swings (about 1.8% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
Big drop and big gain: among USLM's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Nov 26, 2024 |
156.85 +30.4% |
| 52-week closing high Apr 17, 2026 |
139.31 +15.8% |
| Now | 120.31 |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 116.12 -3.5% |
| 200-day average | 114.91 -4.5% |
| 50-day average | 112.75 -6.3% |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
111.61 -7.2% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 107.28 -10.8% |
| 52-week closing low Jul 8, 2026 |
97.44 -19.0% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 47 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.