VCTR
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices VCTR only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
112.39 +1.6% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
114.62 +3.6% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Last close | 110.62 | |
| Bargain buy side |
108.88 -1.6% reached 3 in 10 days |
106.76 -3.5% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 108.32 | 2 in 10 days | 112.97 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 108.88 | 3 in 10 days | 112.39 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 109.40 | 4 in 10 days | 111.85 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 105.54 | 2 in 10 weeks | 115.94 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 106.76 | 3 in 10 weeks | 114.62 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 107.92 | 4 in 10 weeks | 113.39 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From VCTR's daily swings (about 1.6% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | -3.2% | +1.4% | — | — |
| Sep 15, 2026 | -3.2% | -0.6% | +0.5% | — |
| Sep 1, 2026 | -4.2% | -1.1% | -0.7% | — |
| Aug 20, 2026 | -2.4% | +7.1% | -4.3% | — |
| Jul 29, 2026 | -3.0% | +2.6% | +24.3% | +14.0% |
| Jun 24, 2026 | -3.2% | +2.7% | +16.4% | +27.9% |
| May 28, 2026 | -2.5% | +4.3% | -2.5% | +43.2% |
| May 15, 2026 | -2.8% | +0.5% | +2.7% | +39.8% |
Big drop and big gain: among VCTR's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Aug 27, 2026 |
120.59 +9.0% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 114.62 +3.6% |
| 50-day average | 110.79 +0.2% |
| Last close Oct 30, 2026 |
110.62 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 106.76 -3.5% |
| 200-day average | 88.61 -19.9% |
| 52-week closing low Dec 2, 2025 |
59.26 -46.4% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 9 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.