VEEV
Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- VEEV +5.34% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: +5.2 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, rsi overbought (RSI 74 today so far, above 70): After its 13 overbought readings in the past 5 years, VEEV was higher a day later 5 times out of 13; half the outcomes fell between -1.8% and +0.8%. History, not a forecast.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
- Activity: volume on pace for 1.8× its 20-day average.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices VEEV only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
304.28 +2.3% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
313.07 +5.3% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 313.24 · prior close 297.35 | |
| Bargain buy side |
290.58 -2.3% reached 3 in 10 days |
282.42 -5.0% ↑ more often while near its 52-week high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 29% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 288.41 | 2 in 10 days | 306.57 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 290.58 | 3 in 10 days | 304.28 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 292.61 | 4 in 10 days | 302.17 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 277.73 | 2 in 10 weeks↑ 20% vs 18% | 318.35 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 282.42 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 29% vs 27% | 313.07 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 286.86 | 4 in 10 weeks↑ 44% vs 43% | 308.22 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From VEEV's daily swings (about 2.4% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 29% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 8 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among VEEV's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 343.00 +9.5% |
| All-time closing high Aug 5, 2021 |
341.00 +8.9% |
| Now | 313.24 |
| 52-week closing high Oct 15, 2026 |
313.24 0.0% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 313.07 -0.1% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
297.35 -5.1% |
| Mean analyst target | 297.04 -5.2% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 282.42 -9.8% |
| 50-day average | 266.97 -14.8% |
| 200-day average | 204.44 -34.7% |
| Lowest analyst target | 180.00 -42.5% |
| 52-week closing low Apr 10, 2026 |
151.43 -51.7% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 13 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.