VERX
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices VERX only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
15.75 +2.8% reached 3 in 10 days |
16.31 +6.4% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Last close | 15.32 | |
| Bargain buy side |
14.90 -2.8% reached 3 in 10 days |
14.39 -6.1% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 14.76 | 2 in 10 days | 15.90 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 14.90 | 3 in 10 days | 15.75 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 15.02 | 4 in 10 days | 15.62 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 14.10 | 2 in 10 weeks | 16.64 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 14.39 | 3 in 10 weeks | 16.31 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 14.67 | 4 in 10 weeks | 16.00 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From VERX's daily swings (about 2.9% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
Big drop and big gain: among VERX's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Jan 28, 2025 |
58.95 +284.8% |
| 52-week closing high Oct 29, 2025 |
23.24 +51.7% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 16.31 +6.4% |
| Last close Oct 30, 2026 |
15.32 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 14.39 -6.1% |
| 200-day average | 13.29 -13.3% |
| 50-day average | 13.15 -14.2% |
| 52-week closing low Jun 22, 2026 |
10.58 -30.9% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 6 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.