VIR
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices VIR only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
11.67 +3.3% reached 3 in 10 days |
12.15 +7.5% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 11.07 · prior close 11.30 | |
| Bargain buy side |
10.94 -3.2% reached 3 in 10 days |
10.51 -7.0% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 10.83 | 2 in 10 days | 11.80 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 10.94 | 3 in 10 days | 11.67 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 11.05 | 4 in 10 days | 11.56 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 10.27 | 2 in 10 weeks | 12.44 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 10.51 | 3 in 10 weeks | 12.15 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 10.74 | 4 in 10 weeks | 11.89 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From VIR's daily swings (about 3.3% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
Big drop and big gain: among VIR's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Jan 27, 2021 |
83.07 +650.4% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 12.15 +9.7% |
| 52-week closing high Oct 28, 2026 |
11.93 +7.8% |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
11.30 +2.1% |
| Now | 11.07 |
| 50-day average | 10.97 -0.9% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 10.51 -5.1% |
| 200-day average | 9.55 -13.8% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 6, 2025 |
5.12 -53.7% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 7 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.