VISN
Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- VISN +1.02% on the last session vs SPY +0.01%: +1.0 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices VISN only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
6.04 +2.3% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% reached today |
6.21 +5.3% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 5.96 · prior close 5.90 | |
| Bargain buy side |
5.77 -2.3% reached 3 in 10 days |
5.60 -5.0% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 5.72 | 2 in 10 days | 6.08 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 5.77 | 3 in 10 days | 6.04 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 5.81 | 4 in 10 days | 6.00 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 5.51 | 2 in 10 weeks | 6.32 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 5.60 | 3 in 10 weeks | 6.21 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 5.69 | 4 in 10 weeks | 6.12 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From VISN's daily swings (about 2.4% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | -8.6% | +5.6% | -2.0% | — |
| Aug 6, 2026 | -18.2% | +12.4% | +11.2% | — |
| Jun 5, 2026 | -5.3% | +7.7% | +5.4% | -4.5% |
| May 1, 2026 | -6.8% | -1.8% | +4.3% | +1.0% |
| Feb 23, 2026 | -5.6% | -0.3% | +1.4% | +40.8% |
| Nov 13, 2025 | -5.7% | -1.0% | +13.7% | +14.2% |
| Nov 3, 2025 | -6.8% | +4.1% | +17.9% | +12.6% |
| Jun 13, 2025 | -8.2% | +11.2% | +29.3% | +186.6% |
Big drop and big gain: among VISN's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high May 1, 2017 |
11.77 +97.5% |
| 52-week closing high Jun 22, 2026 |
7.34 +23.2% |
| 50-day average | 6.32 +6.0% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 6.21 +4.2% |
| 200-day average | 6.04 +1.3% |
| Now | 5.96 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
5.90 -1.0% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 5.60 -6.0% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 17, 2025 |
4.25 -28.7% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 13 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.