VIV
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices VIV only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
11.66 +3.3% reached 3 in 10 days |
12.14 +7.6% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 11.31 · prior close 11.28 | |
| Bargain buy side |
10.92 -3.2% reached 3 in 10 days |
10.48 -7.1% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 10.80 | 2 in 10 days | 11.78 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 10.92 | 3 in 10 days | 11.66 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 11.03 | 4 in 10 days | 11.54 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 10.24 | 2 in 10 weeks | 12.43 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 10.48 | 3 in 10 weeks | 12.14 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 10.72 | 4 in 10 weeks | 11.87 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From VIV's daily swings (about 3.4% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
Big drop and big gain: among VIV's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Apr 10, 2026 |
16.09 +42.2% |
| 200-day average | 13.27 +17.3% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 12.14 +7.3% |
| 50-day average | 11.83 +4.6% |
| Now | 11.31 |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
11.28 -0.3% |
| 52-week closing low Dec 22, 2025 |
10.85 -4.1% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 10.48 -7.3% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 28 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.