VRSN
Moving with the market
- VRSN +0.36% on the last session vs SPY +0.01%: +0.4 pts of stock-specific move.
- Earnings Oct 22 after the close: EPS $2.46 expected (4 analysts); it moved ±4.5% on average after its last 8 reports.
- Aftermath, big gain (Oct 9): After its 59 big gains in the past 5 years, VRSN was higher a week later 37 times out of 59; half the outcomes fell between -0.9% and +2.5%. History, not a forecast.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices VRSN only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
305.42 +1.3% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
310.46 +3.0% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 302.50 · prior close 301.41 | |
| Bargain buy side |
297.45 -1.3% reached 3 in 10 days |
292.62 -2.9% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 296.17 | 2 in 10 days | 306.74 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 297.45 | 3 in 10 days | 305.42 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 298.64 | 4 in 10 days | 304.20 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 289.83 | 2 in 10 weeks | 313.46 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 292.62 | 3 in 10 weeks | 310.46 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 295.26 | 4 in 10 weeks | 307.69 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From VRSN's daily swings (about 1.4% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among VRSN's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 355.00 +17.4% |
| Mean analyst target | 324.40 +7.2% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 310.46 +2.6% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high May 22, 2026 |
309.09 +2.2% |
| Now | 302.50 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
301.41 -0.4% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 292.62 -3.3% |
| 50-day average | 291.02 -3.8% |
| Lowest analyst target | 285.00 -5.8% |
| 200-day average | 267.24 -11.7% |
| 52-week closing low Feb 23, 2026 |
210.31 -30.5% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 29 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.