VZ
Moving with its group (XLC +1.1%)
- VZ +1.38% on the last session vs SPY −0.00%: +1.4 pts of stock-specific move.
- The communications ETF (XLC) +1.1% (+1.2 pts vs SPY): the stock moved with its group.
- Aftermath, mention spike (trendy) (Oct 12): After its 5 mention spikes in the past 5 years, VZ was higher a day later 3 times out of 5; half the outcomes fell between -1.7% and +1.8%. History, not a forecast.
- 8 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 77% positive over the week.
- 1 analyst action in the past 10 days (0 positive, 1 negative); latest: Scotiabank maintained Sector Outperform, lowered target $51.50 → $50.00.
- 5 insider or congressional trades in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices VZ only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
45.50 +2.4% ↓ less often after a big gain
reached 3 in 10 days · 26% vs usual 28% reached today |
46.87 +5.5% ↓ less often after a big gain
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 26% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 45.03 · prior close 44.42 | |
| Bargain buy side |
43.37 -2.4% ↓ less often after a big gain
reached 3 in 10 days · 25% vs usual 26% |
42.10 -5.2% ↓ less often after a big gain
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 43.03 | 2 in 10 days↓ 16% vs 17% | 45.85 | 2 in 10 days↓ 16% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 43.37 | 3 in 10 days↓ 25% vs 26% | 45.50 | 3 in 10 days↓ 26% vs 28% |
| Eager | 43.68 | 4 in 10 days | 45.17 | 4 in 10 days↓ 42% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 41.37 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% | 47.69 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 15% vs 19% |
| Balanced | 42.10 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% | 46.87 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 26% vs 30% |
| Eager | 42.79 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 40% vs 43% | 46.11 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 44% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From VZ's daily swings (about 2.5% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 26% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 8 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next session: reached 25% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 8 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 26% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 10 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | +2.7% | — | — | — |
| Sep 24, 2026 | +1.7% | -2.8% | — | — |
| Aug 13, 2026 | +2.6% | +2.0% | +6.4% | — |
| Jul 24, 2026 | +5.8% | +0.9% | +8.1% | — |
| Jul 16, 2026 | +2.5% | -0.1% | +10.5% | +2.8% |
| Jun 23, 2026 | +3.0% | -9.4% | -4.6% | +1.1% |
| Jun 10, 2026 | +2.6% | -2.4% | -7.5% | +8.2% |
| May 19, 2026 | +2.1% | +1.0% | -5.0% | +5.2% |
Big drop and big gain: among VZ's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 62.00 +37.7% |
| Mean analyst target | 51.24 +13.8% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Sep 15, 2026 |
50.66 +12.5% |
| 50-day average | 47.23 +4.9% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 46.87 +4.1% |
| 200-day average | 45.15 +0.3% |
| Now | 45.03 |
| Lowest analyst target | 45.00 -0.1% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
44.42 -1.4% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 42.10 -6.5% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 23, 2025 |
36.00 -20.1% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 43 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.