WDAY
Up more than its software peers
- WDAY +4.14% on the last session vs SPY +0.04%: +4.1 pts of stock-specific move.
- More than its group: its software peers +1.9% (+1.8 pts vs SPY).
- Aftermath, big gain (+4.1% today so far, past its big-gain line of +3.0%): After its 59 big gains in the past 5 years, WDAY was higher a month later 26 times out of 59; half the outcomes fell between -5.0% and +5.8%. History, not a forecast.
- 2 analyst actions in the past 10 days (0 positive, 1 negative); latest: Jefferies maintained Hold, lowered target $220 → $210.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices WDAY only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
193.27 +2.4% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
198.98 +5.4% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 196.58 · prior close 188.77 | |
| Bargain buy side |
184.37 -2.3% reached 3 in 10 days |
179.08 -5.1% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 182.97 | 2 in 10 days | 194.76 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 184.37 | 3 in 10 days | 193.27 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 185.69 | 4 in 10 days | 191.90 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 176.04 | 2 in 10 weeks | 202.42 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 179.08 | 3 in 10 weeks | 198.98 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 181.96 | 4 in 10 weeks | 195.84 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From WDAY's daily swings (about 2.4% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among WDAY's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Feb 26, 2024 |
307.21 +56.3% |
| Highest analyst target | 275.00 +39.9% |
| 52-week closing high Oct 21, 2025 |
245.67 +25.0% |
| Mean analyst target | 208.00 +5.8% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 198.98 +1.2% |
| Now | 196.58 |
| 50-day average | 191.04 -2.8% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
188.77 -4.0% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 179.08 -8.9% |
| 200-day average | 155.92 -20.7% |
| 52-week closing low Apr 10, 2026 |
112.50 -42.8% |
| Lowest analyst target | 92.00 -53.2% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 14 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.