WEN
Reddit attention is surging
- WEN +4.74% on the last session vs SPY +0.09%: +4.6 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, big gain (+4.7% today so far, past its big-gain line of +3.0%): After its 71 big gains in the past 5 years, WEN was higher a week later 25 times out of 71; half the outcomes fell between -3.2% and +1.8%. History, not a forecast.
- 6 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 81% positive over the week · today's pace is 1.5× its recent daily average.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices WEN only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
6.61 +2.7% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
6.83 +6.1% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 6.74 · prior close 6.44 | |
| Bargain buy side |
6.27 -2.6% reached 3 in 10 days |
6.07 -5.8% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 6.22 | 2 in 10 days | 6.67 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 6.27 | 3 in 10 days | 6.61 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 6.32 | 4 in 10 days | 6.56 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 5.95 | 2 in 10 weeks | 6.97 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 6.07 | 3 in 10 weeks | 6.83 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 6.18 | 4 in 10 weeks | 6.71 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From WEN's daily swings (about 2.7% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among WEN's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Jun 8, 2021 |
22.61 +235.2% |
| Highest analyst target | 11.00 +63.1% |
| 52-week closing high Aug 25, 2026 |
9.04 +34.1% |
| Mean analyst target | 7.51 +11.4% |
| 50-day average | 7.40 +9.7% |
| 200-day average | 7.31 +8.3% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 6.83 +1.3% |
| Now | 6.74 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
6.44 -4.5% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 5, 2026 |
6.10 -9.6% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 6.07 -10.0% |
| Lowest analyst target | 5.00 -25.9% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 46 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.