WHR
Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- WHR +3.22% on the last session vs SPY +0.12%: +3.1 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices WHR only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
28.33 +2.5% ↑ more often after a new 52-week low
reached 4 in 10 days · 36% vs usual 28% reached today |
29.22 +5.8% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 28.52 · prior close 27.63 | |
| Bargain buy side |
26.95 -2.5% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 2 in 10 days · 24% vs usual 26% |
26.13 -5.4% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 26.73 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% | 28.56 | 3 in 10 days↑ 25% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 26.95 | 2 in 10 days↓ 24% vs 26% | 28.33 | 4 in 10 days↑ 36% vs 28% |
| Eager | 27.15 | 4 in 10 days↓ 40% vs 41% | 28.12 | 5 in 10 days↑ 52% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 25.66 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% | 29.76 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 26.13 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% | 29.22 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 26.57 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 41% vs 43% | 28.73 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From WHR's daily swings (about 2.6% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | -3.9% | -4.4% | — | — |
| Sep 1, 2026 | -7.1% | -2.9% | -19.7% | — |
| Aug 14, 2026 | -3.5% | -2.5% | -20.2% | — |
| Aug 6, 2026 | -4.8% | -0.3% | -8.6% | — |
| Jul 23, 2026 | -3.9% | +6.7% | +13.1% | — |
| Jul 13, 2026 | -4.6% | -5.0% | +12.2% | -25.8% |
| Jul 2, 2026 | -5.2% | +6.9% | +2.9% | -20.0% |
| Jun 22, 2026 | -5.9% | +3.9% | +1.6% | -10.7% |
- Stretch price, next session: reached 36% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | -1.9% | -9.2% | -18.0% | — |
| Jul 23, 2026 | -3.9% | +6.7% | +13.1% | — |
| Jun 17, 2026 | -3.7% | -2.3% | -4.5% | -14.5% |
| May 7, 2026 | -11.9% | -11.8% | -17.9% | -10.2% |
| Mar 3, 2026 | -5.8% | -4.6% | -10.1% | -32.0% |
| Oct 10, 2025 | -3.9% | +1.7% | -8.4% | +18.9% |
| Apr 8, 2025 | -6.8% | +2.6% | +3.1% | +43.0% |
| May 29, 2024 | -2.3% | +5.6% | +20.5% | +20.4% |
- Bargain price, next session: reached 24% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 10 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among WHR's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high May 7, 2021 |
195.82 +586.6% |
| 52-week closing high Feb 11, 2026 |
91.61 +221.2% |
| 200-day average | 51.17 +79.4% |
| 50-day average | 35.71 +25.2% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 29.22 +2.5% |
| Now | 28.52 |
| 52-week closing low Oct 14, 2026 |
27.63 -3.1% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
27.63 -3.1% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 26.13 -8.4% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 54 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.