WRB

Moving with the market

• WRB +0.12% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: −0.6 pts of stock-specific move.
• Aftermath, crossed above 200-day avg (Oct 1): After its 8 crosses above the 200-day average in the past 5 years, WRB typically lost 0.4% over the next day (median) and was higher only 38% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -1.1% and +0.6%. An ordinary day: +0.1%. Among S&P 500 stocks after crosses above the 200-day average, that ranks #416 of 497.
• Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.