WRBY
Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- WRBY −1.16% on the last session vs SPY +0.04%: −1.2 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices WRBY only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
25.96 +4.2% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
27.30 +9.5% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 24.63 · prior close 24.92 | |
| Bargain buy side |
23.93 -4.0% reached 3 in 10 days |
22.75 -8.7% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 23.61 | 2 in 10 days | 26.30 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 23.93 | 3 in 10 days | 25.96 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 24.22 | 4 in 10 days | 25.64 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 22.09 | 2 in 10 weeks | 28.12 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 22.75 | 3 in 10 weeks | 27.30 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 23.39 | 4 in 10 weeks | 26.55 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From WRBY's daily swings (about 4.2% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | -7.7% | +8.1% | — | — |
| Sep 15, 2026 | -5.3% | -5.8% | +2.4% | — |
| Aug 24, 2026 | -4.5% | -6.1% | -10.9% | — |
| Aug 6, 2026 | -7.9% | -4.0% | -9.7% | — |
| Jul 13, 2026 | -5.6% | -10.3% | -8.6% | -7.7% |
| Jun 16, 2026 | -4.7% | +6.8% | +5.1% | -6.3% |
| May 29, 2026 | -4.7% | -7.3% | +23.7% | +2.0% |
| May 20, 2026 | -4.2% | +5.2% | +10.4% | +12.3% |
Big drop and big gain: among WRBY's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Nov 17, 2021 |
59.50 +141.6% |
| 52-week closing high Jun 30, 2026 |
30.34 +23.2% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 27.30 +10.8% |
| 50-day average | 25.42 +3.2% |
| 200-day average | 25.20 +2.3% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
24.92 +1.2% |
| Now | 24.63 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 22.75 -7.6% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 17, 2025 |
16.49 -33.0% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 5 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.