WSC
Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- WSC +0.86% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: +0.8 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices WSC only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
16.58 +2.4% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
17.08 +5.5% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 16.33 · prior close 16.19 | |
| Bargain buy side |
15.81 -2.4% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 2 in 10 days · 24% vs usual 26% |
15.35 -5.2% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 15.69 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% | 16.71 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 15.81 | 2 in 10 days↓ 24% vs 26% | 16.58 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 15.92 | 4 in 10 days↓ 40% vs 41% | 16.46 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 15.08 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% | 17.38 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 15.35 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% | 17.08 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 15.60 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 41% vs 43% | 16.80 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From WSC's daily swings (about 2.5% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | -5.6% | -7.4% | -16.3% | — |
| Aug 7, 2026 | -5.6% | -2.5% | -18.2% | — |
| Jul 28, 2026 | -4.0% | +3.7% | -17.0% | — |
| Jul 20, 2026 | -4.2% | +2.6% | -12.4% | — |
| Jul 1, 2026 | -5.2% | -5.8% | -11.3% | -37.0% |
| Jun 23, 2026 | -4.1% | +3.6% | -3.5% | -33.9% |
| Jun 10, 2026 | -3.9% | +5.2% | -0.6% | -29.2% |
| May 19, 2026 | -4.7% | +12.1% | +26.5% | -0.8% |
- Bargain price, next session: reached 24% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 10 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among WSC's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Mar 7, 2023 |
51.95 +218.1% |
| 52-week closing high Jun 25, 2026 |
28.97 +77.4% |
| 200-day average | 21.98 +34.6% |
| 50-day average | 19.61 +20.1% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 17.08 +4.6% |
| Now | 16.33 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
16.19 -0.9% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 15.35 -6.0% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 19, 2025 |
14.78 -9.5% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 11 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.