WULF
Moving with its group (XLF +1.2%)
- WULF +1.97% on the last session vs SPY +0.06%: +1.9 pts of stock-specific move.
- The financials ETF (XLF) +1.2% (+1.1 pts vs SPY): the stock moved with its group.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
- Activity: volume on pace for 3.3× its 20-day average.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices WULF only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
12.14 +5.2% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
12.92 +12.0% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 11.77 · prior close 11.54 | |
| Bargain buy side |
10.97 -4.9% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 2 in 10 days · 24% vs usual 26% reached today |
10.31 -10.7% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 10.79 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% | 12.34 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 10.97 | 2 in 10 days↓ 24% vs 26% | 12.14 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 11.14 | 4 in 10 days↓ 40% vs 41% | 11.95 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 9.94 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% | 13.40 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 10.31 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% | 12.92 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 10.67 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 41% vs 43% | 12.49 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From WULF's daily swings (about 5.2% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | -7.6% | +12.8% | -14.6% | — |
| Aug 18, 2026 | -11.3% | +4.5% | +5.4% | — |
| Jul 24, 2026 | -7.9% | -4.3% | -16.1% | — |
| Jul 2, 2026 | -10.2% | +3.7% | -11.1% | -29.6% |
| Jun 5, 2026 | -8.4% | +8.6% | -4.9% | -31.2% |
| May 15, 2026 | -7.7% | +2.2% | +25.5% | -21.1% |
| Mar 26, 2026 | -9.0% | -3.1% | +39.6% | +68.3% |
| Feb 27, 2026 | -9.3% | -15.2% | -15.5% | +57.6% |
- Bargain price, next session: reached 24% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 10 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among WULF's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 65.00 +452.4% |
| All-time closing high Nov 19, 2021 |
36.07 +206.5% |
| Mean analyst target | 33.58 +185.4% |
| 52-week closing high Jun 18, 2026 |
28.98 +146.3% |
| 200-day average | 18.13 +54.0% |
| 50-day average | 15.66 +33.1% |
| Lowest analyst target | 15.00 +27.5% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 12.92 +9.8% |
| Now | 11.77 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
11.54 -1.9% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 14, 2025 |
10.99 -6.6% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 10.31 -12.4% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 32 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.