WY
Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- WY +2.88% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: +2.8 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, big gain (+2.9% today so far, past its big-gain line of +2.0%): After its 60 big gains in the past 5 years, WY was higher a week later 35 times out of 60; half the outcomes fell between -1.5% and +2.2%. History, not a forecast.
- 1 analyst action in the past 10 days (0 positive, 1 negative); latest: Citigroup maintained Buy, lowered target $29.00 → $21.00.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices WY only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
19.20 +1.6% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
19.59 +3.6% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 19.44 · prior close 18.90 | |
| Bargain buy side |
18.60 -1.6% reached 3 in 10 days |
18.24 -3.5% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 18.50 | 2 in 10 days | 19.30 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 18.60 | 3 in 10 days | 19.20 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 18.69 | 4 in 10 days | 19.11 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 18.03 | 2 in 10 weeks | 19.82 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 18.24 | 3 in 10 weeks | 19.59 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 18.43 | 4 in 10 weeks | 19.38 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From WY's daily swings (about 1.7% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among WY's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 38.00 +95.4% |
| All-time closing high May 4, 2022 |
36.15 +85.9% |
| Mean analyst target | 29.73 +52.9% |
| 52-week closing high Feb 11, 2026 |
26.40 +35.7% |
| 200-day average | 23.59 +21.3% |
| 50-day average | 21.93 +12.8% |
| Lowest analyst target | 21.00 +8.0% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 19.59 +0.7% |
| Now | 19.44 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
18.90 -2.8% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 2, 2026 |
18.47 -5.0% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 18.24 -6.2% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 53 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.