XEL

Moving with the market

• XEL +1.20% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: +0.5 pts of stock-specific move.
• Aftermath, big gain (Sep 29): After its 64 big gains in the past 5 years, XEL typically gained 1.5% over the next month (median) and was higher 62% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -2.2% and +4.2%. An ordinary month: +0.9%. Among S&P 500 stocks after big gains, that ranks #229 of 500.
• Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.