XMTR
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices XMTR only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
97.84 +4.5% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% reached today |
103.27 +10.3% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 98.84 · prior close 93.65 | |
| Bargain buy side |
89.64 -4.3% reached 3 in 10 days |
84.92 -9.3% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 88.38 | 2 in 10 days | 99.24 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 89.64 | 3 in 10 days | 97.84 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 90.84 | 4 in 10 days | 96.55 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 82.27 | 2 in 10 weeks | 106.60 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 84.92 | 3 in 10 weeks | 103.27 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 87.48 | 4 in 10 weeks | 100.26 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From XMTR's daily swings (about 4.5% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | -11.8% | -6.5% | — | — |
| Sep 24, 2026 | -7.3% | +7.0% | -8.7% | — |
| Sep 9, 2026 | -7.4% | +8.8% | +24.4% | — |
| Aug 17, 2026 | -6.8% | -5.7% | +3.8% | — |
| Aug 6, 2026 | -5.7% | +8.5% | +6.2% | — |
| Jul 22, 2026 | -6.1% | -17.7% | -15.6% | -4.9% |
| Jun 2, 2026 | -10.8% | -4.7% | +8.0% | +7.2% |
| May 21, 2026 | -5.3% | +9.7% | +5.6% | -3.8% |
Big drop and big gain: among XMTR's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Oct 9, 2026 |
111.07 +12.4% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 103.27 +4.5% |
| Now | 98.84 |
| 50-day average | 96.44 -2.4% |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
93.65 -5.3% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 84.92 -14.1% |
| 200-day average | 76.14 -23.0% |
| 52-week closing low Mar 12, 2026 |
36.10 -63.5% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 5 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.