XNCR

R500#396 today EARNINGSWed

$29.73 -0.30% today · +1.88% 1W

Nov 2 close or latest

Why it's movingUnderperforming without a clear catalyst yetReadout ›

Bargain & stretch prices

Prices XNCR only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.

TodayNext 5 sessionsToday so far

	Today	Next 5 sessions
Stretch sell side	31.13 +4.4% reached 3 in 10 days	32.84 +10.1% reached 3 in 10 weeks
Now	29.73 · prior close 29.82
Bargain buy side	28.56 -4.2% reached 3 in 10 days	27.08 -9.2% ↑ more often while near its 52-week high reached 3 in 10 weeks · 29% vs usual 27%

More patient or more eager

	Bargain	Reached	Stretch	Reached
Today
Patient	28.17	2 in 10 days	31.57	2 in 10 days
Balanced	28.56	3 in 10 days	31.13	3 in 10 days
Eager	28.94	4 in 10 days	30.73	5 in 10 days
Next 5 sessions
Patient	26.25	2 in 10 weeks↑ 20% vs 18%	33.88	2 in 10 weeks
Balanced	27.08	3 in 10 weeks↑ 29% vs 27%	32.84	3 in 10 weeks
Eager	27.88	4 in 10 weeks↑ 44% vs 43%	31.89	5 in 10 weeks

"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From XNCR's daily swings (about 4.5% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.

Situations on the Oct 30 close

Within 2% of its 52-week high odds adjusted

Near its 52-week high, the 5-session bargain price was reached a little more often than usual, so the bargain & stretch odds above are adjusted (marked in gold):

Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 29% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 8 of 10 years)

Big drop and big gain: among XNCR's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.

Price ladder

All-time closing high Feb 8, 2021	53.88 +81.2%
Stretch, next 5 sessions	32.84 +10.4%
52-week closing high Oct 27, 2026	29.99 +0.9%
Previous close Oct 30, 2026	29.82 +0.3%
Now	29.73
Bargain, next 5 sessions	27.08 -8.9%
50-day average	25.78 -13.3%
200-day average	17.04 -42.7%
52-week closing low May 19, 2026	10.41 -65.0%

Closing prices (all-time = the 13 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.