XPEV
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices XPEV only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
9.28 +2.7% ↑ more often after a new 52-week low
reached 4 in 10 days · 36% vs usual 28% reached today |
9.59 +6.1% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 9.74 · prior close 9.04 | |
| Bargain buy side |
8.80 -2.6% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 2 in 10 days · 24% vs usual 26% |
8.52 -5.8% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 8.73 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% | 9.36 | 3 in 10 days↑ 25% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 8.80 | 2 in 10 days↓ 24% vs 26% | 9.28 | 4 in 10 days↑ 36% vs 28% |
| Eager | 8.87 | 4 in 10 days↓ 40% vs 41% | 9.21 | 5 in 10 days↑ 52% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 8.36 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% | 9.78 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 8.52 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% | 9.59 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 8.67 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 41% vs 43% | 9.42 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From XPEV's daily swings (about 2.7% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 36% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | -4.2% | -0.2% | — | — |
| Sep 4, 2026 | -1.7% | -2.2% | -12.7% | — |
| Aug 4, 2026 | -2.6% | -1.4% | -8.0% | — |
| Jun 10, 2026 | -4.0% | -9.6% | -12.9% | -30.4% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | -1.8% | +0.4% | +3.7% | -18.2% |
| Mar 3, 2026 | -6.6% | +18.9% | +10.3% | +12.7% |
| Aug 7, 2024 | -5.4% | -2.2% | +25.0% | +87.6% |
| Mar 27, 2024 | -8.5% | -5.0% | +0.4% | -1.5% |
- Bargain price, next session: reached 24% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 10 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among XPEV's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Nov 23, 2020 |
72.17 +640.6% |
| 52-week closing high Nov 11, 2025 |
28.07 +188.0% |
| 200-day average | 14.42 +48.0% |
| 50-day average | 10.11 +3.7% |
| Now | 9.74 |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 9.59 -1.6% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 30, 2026 |
9.04 -7.2% |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
9.04 -7.2% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 8.52 -12.6% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 6 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.