ZBRA
Moving with its group (XLK -1.1%)
- ZBRA −0.84% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: −0.9 pts of stock-specific move.
- The tech sector ETF (XLK) -1.1% (-1.2 pts vs SPY): the stock moved with its group.
- 1 analyst action in the past 10 days (1 positive, 0 negative); latest: Truist Securities maintained Hold, raised target $355 → $378.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices ZBRA only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
384.23 +2.0% reached 3 in 10 days |
393.51 +4.4% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 373.71 · prior close 376.88 | |
| Bargain buy side |
369.67 -1.9% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
360.95 -4.2% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 367.36 | 2 in 10 days | 386.65 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 369.67 | 3 in 10 days | 384.23 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 371.84 | 4 in 10 days | 381.99 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 355.92 | 2 in 10 weeks | 399.07 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 360.95 | 3 in 10 weeks | 393.51 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 365.70 | 4 in 10 weeks | 388.40 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From ZBRA's daily swings (about 2.0% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among ZBRA's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Dec 10, 2021 |
614.55 +64.4% |
| Highest analyst target | 455.00 +21.8% |
| Mean analyst target | 413.85 +10.7% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 393.51 +5.3% |
| 52-week closing high Oct 12, 2026 |
388.12 +3.9% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
376.88 +0.8% |
| Now | 373.71 |
| 50-day average | 365.64 -2.2% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 360.95 -3.4% |
| Lowest analyst target | 350.00 -6.3% |
| 200-day average | 273.12 -26.9% |
| 52-week closing low Mar 30, 2026 |
199.30 -46.7% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 35 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.