ZTS
Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- ZTS +4.75% on the last session vs SPY +0.09%: +4.7 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, big gain (+4.8% today so far, past its big-gain line of +1.9%): After its 65 big gains in the past 5 years, ZTS was higher a week later 34 times out of 65; half the outcomes fell between -1.8% and +2.8%. History, not a forecast.
- 1 insider or congressional trade in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices ZTS only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
76.48 +1.6% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
77.97 +3.6% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 78.87 · prior close 75.29 | |
| Bargain buy side |
74.12 -1.6% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 2 in 10 days · 24% vs usual 26% |
72.70 -3.4% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 73.75 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% | 76.87 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 74.12 | 2 in 10 days↓ 24% vs 26% | 76.48 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 74.47 | 4 in 10 days↓ 40% vs 41% | 76.12 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 71.88 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% | 78.86 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 72.70 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% | 77.97 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 73.48 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 41% vs 43% | 77.15 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From ZTS's daily swings (about 1.6% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Bargain price, next session: reached 24% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 10 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among ZTS's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Dec 29, 2021 |
233.81 +196.5% |
| Highest analyst target | 155.00 +96.5% |
| 52-week closing high Oct 27, 2025 |
144.75 +83.5% |
| Mean analyst target | 96.00 +21.7% |
| 200-day average | 95.37 +20.9% |
| Lowest analyst target | 80.00 +1.4% |
| Now | 78.87 |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 77.97 -1.1% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
75.29 -4.5% |
| 50-day average | 73.95 -6.2% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 72.70 -7.8% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 1, 2026 |
69.10 -12.4% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 14 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.